Econometrics recognizes that social behavior is exceedingly complex and that a limited number of variables related together in fairly simple and elegant equations cannot explain the whole of such behavior.

LAWRENCE R. KLEIN
Władysław Welfe
Macroeconometric Models
Springer, Heidelberg, 2013, 978-3-642-34467-1
Piotr Karp, Piotr Kębłowski, Michał Majsterek, Aleksander Welfe
Analiza kointegracyjna w makromodelowaniu
PWE, Warszawa, 2013, 978-83-208-2039-3
Robert Kelm
Kurs złoty/euro: teoria i empiria
Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego, Łódź, 2013, 978-83-7525-821-9
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Efekt Balassy-Samuelsona i mechanizmy jego absorpcji
Ekonomista, nr 4, 2015, s. 463-489
Anna Staszewska-Bystrova, Peter Winker
Constructing narrowest pathwise bootstrap prediction bands using threshold accepting
International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 29, 2013, pp. 221-233
Piotr Kębłowski, Aleksander Welfe
A risk-driven approach to exchange-rate modelling
Economic Modelling, Vol. 29, 2012, pp. 1473-1482
Anna Staszewska-Bystrova
Bootstrap prediction bands for forecast paths from vector autoregressive models
Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 30, No. 8, pp. 679-752
Wojciech Grabowski, Aleksander Welfe
Global stability of dynamic models
Economic Modelling, Vol. 28, 2010, pp.782-784
Michał Majsterek, Aleksander Welfe
Price-wage nexus and the role of a tax system
Economic Change and Restructuring, Vol. 45, No. 1-2 , 2012, pp.121-133